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The “Santa Claus Rally” refers to a phenomenon in the stock market where there is a tendency for stock prices to rise in the last week of December and the first two trading days in January. This trend has been observed over several years, although it's important to note that it's not a guaranteed occurrence every year. Several theories have been proposed to explain why this rally happens:
Holiday Optimism: The festive mood and general optimism around the holiday season may encourage more buying activity in the markets.
Tax Considerations: Investors might be adjusting their portfolios for tax reasons before the year ends, which can sometimes involve selling losing positions and buying other stocks, potentially driving prices up.
Low Trading Volume: Many traders and institutional investors are on holiday during this period, leading to lower trading volumes. Lower volume can sometimes lead to higher market volatility, and in this case, it might contribute to a general upward trend in stock prices.
Window Dressing: Some fund managers might engage in “window dressing” at the end of the year by buying stocks that have performed well to improve the appearance of their year-end holdings, which they report to clients and shareholders.
Bonus Investments: People may invest their year-end bonuses in the stock market, leading to increased demand for stocks.
Anticipation of the January Effect: The January Effect is a separate phenomenon where stock prices, especially those of small-cap companies, tend to rise in January. Some investors might buy stocks in late December in anticipation of this.
It's important to remember that while the Santa Claus Rally is a historical trend, it's not a rule, and stock market performance can be influenced by a wide range of factors, including economic indicators, geopolitical events, and company-specific news. Investors should always consider their own risk tolerance and investment goals before making decisions based on seasonal trends.
That being said, here are three of the best stocks to buy for the 2023 Santa Claus Rally…
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As we come close to the end of the year, it’s time to strategize for 2024 and introspect on the investment decisions taken this year. At the same time, investors look for stocks that can skyrocket at the blink of an eye. Truthfully, almost nothing compares financially to making some quick money in the holiday season for a spending binge.
However, expecting a 100% Santa Claus rally in just a month doesn’t imply that the following stocks are speculative. These stocks represent companies with decent business fundamentals. Based on the business developments, it would be prudent and smart to remain invested in these stocks for the long term.
For now, the focus as a trader is to see a target of a 100% rally achieved. Let’s discuss the reasons to be bullish on these stocks.
Riot Platforms (RIOT)
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has surged past $35,000. Some investors remain bullish on the cryptocurrency.
A proxy for exposure to Bitcoin is through miners. Riot Platforms (NASDAQ:RIOT) is among the best names to consider in the Bitcoin mining industry. If Bitcoin trends higher to $50,000 levels, RIOT stock is poised to double before Santa Claus arrives.
Specific to Riot Platforms, two bullish reasons resound. First, Riot is debt free and has a total cash buffer (including digital assets) of $488 million. With high financial flexibility, the company is positioned for aggressive expansion.
Second, for Q3 2023, Riot reported revenue and EBITDA of $51.9 million and $31.6 million, respectively. A healthy EBITDA margin of 61% implies that the company is a low-cost miner. With Bitcoin trending higher, Riot is positioned for healthy cash flows.
Importantly, the company plans to increase mining capacity by almost 3.5x by 2025 (from 10.9EH/s as of Q3 2023). Therefore, revenue and EBITDA growth will likely be stellar in the next 24 months.
Joby Aviation (JOBY)
Electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft (eVTOL) has been a hot investment theme for the year. The reason is the potential commercialization of eVTOL in the next 12 to 24 months. Joby Aviation (NYSE:JOBY) had touched highs of $12 in July.
However, the stock has corrected to current levels of $5.5. JOBY stock is poised to touch previous highs before Santa arrives. The stock has a short interest of 17%. A short-squeeze rally could deliver robust returns.
Positive business catalysts indicate the company has completed 84% certification from the Federal Aviation Authority (FAA). Once all certifications are received, a surge is likely in the coming months.
Further, Joby has already delivered its first electric air-taxi to the U.S. air force ahead of schedule, part of its $131 million contract with the Department of Defense (DOD). With positive business developments and a sharp correction from highs, JOBY stock seems poised for a big reversal rally.
Blade Air Mobility (BLDE)
Blade Air Mobility (NASDAQ:BLDE) is a provider of air transportation alternatives to congested ground routes in the United States. The stock is surging by 44% in the last month alone. Thus, the big Santa Claus rally is likely to sustain on the back of positive financial metrics.
Recently, the company reported Q3 2023 results. Revenue increased by 56% on a year-on-year (YOY) basis to $71.4 million. More impressively, the company reports a positive adjusted EBITDA of $0.8 million. With healthy growth, investors should expect significant EBITDA margin expansion in the coming quarters. This factor is likely to be discounted in BLDE stock in the next few months.
In terms of revenue acceleration catalysts, BLDE’s group of MediMobility Organ Transport revenue surged by 65.4% YOY to $33.4 million. Also, the company announced a new medical business line, Trinity Organ Placement Services. The objective is to help “transplant centers determine if an organ is a match for a potential recipient.” With these positives, BLDE stock looks massively undervalued even after the recent surge.
How to collect PASSIVE INCOME from EV Charging Stations (Deadline Approaching)
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